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Coupling the cross-entropy with the line sampling method for risk-based design optimization

机译:将交叉熵与线性采样方法相结合,进行基于风险的设计优化

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摘要

An algorithm for risk-based optimization (RO) of engineering systems is proposed, which couples the Cross-entropy (CE) optimization method with the Line Sampling (LS) reliability method. The CE-LS algorithm relies on the CE method to optimize the total cost of a system that is composed of the design and operation cost (e.g., production cost) and the expected failure cost (i.e., failure risk). Guided by the random search of the CE method, the algorithm proceeds iteratively to update a set of random search distributions such that the optimal or near-optimal solution is likely to occur. The LS-based failure probability estimates are required to evaluate the failure risk. Throughout the optimization process, the coupling relies on a local weighted average approximation of the probability of failure to reduce the computational demands associated with RO. As the CE-LS algorithm proceeds to locate a region of design parameters with near-optimal solutions, the local weighted average approximation of the probability of failure is refined. The adaptive refinement procedure is repeatedly applied until convergence criteria with respect to both the optimization and the approximation of the failure probability are satisfied. The performance of the proposed optimization heuristic is examined empirically on several RO problems, including the design of a monopile foundation for offshore wind turbines.
机译:提出了一种工程系统基于风险的优化算法,将交叉熵优化方法与线性抽样可靠性方法相结合。 CE-LS算法依靠CE方法来优化系统的总成本,该总成本由设计和运行成本(例如,生产成本)和预期的故障成本(即,故障风险)组成。在CE方法的随机搜索的指导下,该算法迭代进行以更新一组随机搜索分布,从而可能会出现最佳或接近最佳的解决方案。需要基于LS的故障概率估计值来评估故障风险。在整个优化过程中,耦合依赖于故障概率的局部加权平均近似值,以减少与RO相关的计算需求。随着CE-LS算法继续使用接近最佳的解决方案来定位设计参数区域,将完善故障概率的局部加权平均近似。重复应用自适应细化过程,直到满足关于优化和失败概率近似值的收敛标准为止。对一些RO问题进行了经验检验,验证了所提出的优化启发式算法的性能,其中包括用于海上风力涡轮机的单桩基础的设计。

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